Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila highs near 32–33°C on June 13 amid developing El Niño conditions, which elevate baseline sea surface temperatures and favor warmer, drier tendencies despite the onset of the southwest monsoon. Key differentiators among closely matched 32–34°C outcomes include variable cloud cover and rainfall probability—higher precipitation suppresses peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling—along with local urban heat effects and steering patterns that could allow brief clearer periods for modest intensification. Traders weigh these short-term variables against climatological June averages around 32°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de junho?
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila highs near 32–33°C on June 13 amid developing El Niño conditions, which elevate baseline sea surface temperatures and favor warmer, drier tendencies despite the onset of the southwest monsoon. Key differentiators among closely matched 32–34°C outcomes include variable cloud cover and rainfall probability—higher precipitation suppresses peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling—along with local urban heat effects and steering patterns that could allow brief clearer periods for modest intensification. Traders weigh these short-term variables against climatological June averages around 32°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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