Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 26?
25°C 35%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
23%
25°C
35%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 35%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$6 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$23 Vol.
35%
26°C
$81 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$3 Vol.
3%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$126End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$126End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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