Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 25?
34°C 32%
35°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 16%
NEW
$12,643 Vol.
NEW
$12,643 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
16%
34°C
32%
35°C
25%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
10%
34°C 32%
35°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 16%
NEW
$12,643 Vol.
NEW
$12,643 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,076 Vol.
1%
31°C
$552 Vol.
1%
32°C
$358 Vol.
5%
33°C
$514 Vol.
16%
34°C
$1,417 Vol.
32%
35°C
$5,347 Vol.
25%
36°C
$1,048 Vol.
18%
37°C or higher
$914 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,643End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,643End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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