Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project a daily maximum of 36–37 °C in Wuhan on 25 July under mostly sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. These values sit near the July climatological average high of 32–34 °C but align with the current subtropical monsoon ridge pattern that favors clear skies and daytime heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 36 °C and 37 °C because ensemble models show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, while slight differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical analogs indicate that without a strong cold-air intrusion or heavy rain, maxima in this range occur frequently during late-July high-pressure episodes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 25?
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 16%
38°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
11%
35°C
16%
36°C
32%
37°C
31%
38°C
16%
39°C
7%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 16%
38°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$12 Vol.
11%
35°C
$2 Vol.
16%
36°C
$6 Vol.
32%
37°C
$3 Vol.
31%
38°C
$19 Vol.
16%
39°C
$16 Vol.
7%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project a daily maximum of 36–37 °C in Wuhan on 25 July under mostly sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. These values sit near the July climatological average high of 32–34 °C but align with the current subtropical monsoon ridge pattern that favors clear skies and daytime heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 36 °C and 37 °C because ensemble models show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, while slight differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical analogs indicate that without a strong cold-air intrusion or heavy rain, maxima in this range occur frequently during late-July high-pressure episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$64End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project a daily maximum of 36–37 °C in Wuhan on 25 July under mostly sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. These values sit near the July climatological average high of 32–34 °C but align with the current subtropical monsoon ridge pattern that favors clear skies and daytime heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 36 °C and 37 °C because ensemble models show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, while slight differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical analogs indicate that without a strong cold-air intrusion or heavy rain, maxima in this range occur frequently during late-July high-pressure episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project a daily maximum of 36–37 °C in Wuhan on 25 July under mostly sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. These values sit near the July climatological average high of 32–34 °C but align with the current subtropical monsoon ridge pattern that favors clear skies and daytime heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 36 °C and 37 °C because ensemble models show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, while slight differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical analogs indicate that without a strong cold-air intrusion or heavy rain, maxima in this range occur frequently during late-July high-pressure episodes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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