Current forecast models from sources including SMN and international ensembles indicate a June 28 maximum in Mexico City near 22–24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers expected to cap peaks near seasonal normals of roughly 24°C. Recent days have seen highs of 23–26°C under similar early-summer patterns, while model runs show minor spread tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity over the Valley of Mexico. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds across 22–24°C, as traders weigh the balance between clear intervals that could allow brief warming and widespread moisture that would suppress readings below 21°C or above 25°C. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the observed daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 28?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 28?
25°C 96.2%
26°C 1.7%
27°C or higher <1%
17°C or below <1%
$41,767 Vol.
$41,767 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
25°C 96.2%
26°C 1.7%
27°C or higher <1%
17°C or below <1%
$41,767 Vol.
$41,767 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
17°C or below
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,331 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,715 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,348 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,826 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,560 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,412 Vol.
96%
26°C
$2,224 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$2,638 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including SMN and international ensembles indicate a June 28 maximum in Mexico City near 22–24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers expected to cap peaks near seasonal normals of roughly 24°C. Recent days have seen highs of 23–26°C under similar early-summer patterns, while model runs show minor spread tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity over the Valley of Mexico. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds across 22–24°C, as traders weigh the balance between clear intervals that could allow brief warming and widespread moisture that would suppress readings below 21°C or above 25°C. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the observed daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$41,767End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including SMN and international ensembles indicate a June 28 maximum in Mexico City near 22–24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers expected to cap peaks near seasonal normals of roughly 24°C. Recent days have seen highs of 23–26°C under similar early-summer patterns, while model runs show minor spread tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity over the Valley of Mexico. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds across 22–24°C, as traders weigh the balance between clear intervals that could allow brief warming and widespread moisture that would suppress readings below 21°C or above 25°C. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the observed daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,767End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including SMN and international ensembles indicate a June 28 maximum in Mexico City near 22–24°C, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers expected to cap peaks near seasonal normals of roughly 24°C. Recent days have seen highs of 23–26°C under similar early-summer patterns, while model runs show minor spread tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity over the Valley of Mexico. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds across 22–24°C, as traders weigh the balance between clear intervals that could allow brief warming and widespread moisture that would suppress readings below 21°C or above 25°C. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the observed daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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