Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's June 16 maximum near 28–29 °C under typical Po Valley high pressure, driving the tight 29 °C (40.5 %) and 30 °C (35 %) market split. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southeasterly flow explain the close probabilities, while climatological June averages of 26–27 °C and absence of strong warm advection keep higher outcomes below 10 %. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
41%
30°C
35%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
41%
30°C
35%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's June 16 maximum near 28–29 °C under typical Po Valley high pressure, driving the tight 29 °C (40.5 %) and 30 °C (35 %) market split. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southeasterly flow explain the close probabilities, while climatological June averages of 26–27 °C and absence of strong warm advection keep higher outcomes below 10 %. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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