Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on July 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 1?
28°C 35%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 14.3%
NEW
$20,255 Vol.
NEW
$20,255 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
28%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 14.3%
NEW
$20,255 Vol.
NEW
$20,255 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
22°C or below
$556 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,257 Vol.
3%
27°C
$6,131 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,474 Vol.
35%
29°C
$3,548 Vol.
28%
30°C
$1,651 Vol.
14%
31°C
$2,552 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$797 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,255End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,255End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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