Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a warm southerly flow advecting milder air into central Russia, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28°C on June 13, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Moscow’s early-June baseline averages around 22°C, but current conditions reflect a positive anomaly driven by high pressure building eastward. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow spread across runs and the potential for convective cooling to cap extremes. Updated model guidance and regional observations from Roshydromet over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
27°C 26%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
26%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 26%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$545 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$33 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$55 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a warm southerly flow advecting milder air into central Russia, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28°C on June 13, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Moscow’s early-June baseline averages around 22°C, but current conditions reflect a positive anomaly driven by high pressure building eastward. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow spread across runs and the potential for convective cooling to cap extremes. Updated model guidance and regional observations from Roshydromet over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$637วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a warm southerly flow advecting milder air into central Russia, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28°C on June 13, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Moscow’s early-June baseline averages around 22°C, but current conditions reflect a positive anomaly driven by high pressure building eastward. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow spread across runs and the potential for convective cooling to cap extremes. Updated model guidance and regional observations from Roshydromet over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$637วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a warm southerly flow advecting milder air into central Russia, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28°C on June 13, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Moscow’s early-June baseline averages around 22°C, but current conditions reflect a positive anomaly driven by high pressure building eastward. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow spread across runs and the potential for convective cooling to cap extremes. Updated model guidance and regional observations from Roshydromet over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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