Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 31?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 31?
33°C 37%
32°C 29%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
37%
34°C
25%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 37%
32°C 29%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$49 Vol.
29%
33°C
$5 Vol.
37%
34°C
$0 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$16 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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