Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 31?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
10%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
67°F or below
$37 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$37 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$37 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$166 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$13 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$42 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$48 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$42 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$421End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$421End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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