Traders see the tight clustering around 29–31°C for Shenzhen’s June 12 maximum as reflecting forecast uncertainty in early monsoon conditions. Latest model guidance points to daytime highs near 30°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit afternoon solar heating, while high humidity and weak steering flow keep temperatures from deviating sharply. Official climatology shows early-June averages near 30–31°C, but recent runs differ on convective timing and coverage, creating the balanced probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. New model updates or morning observations tomorrow could quickly shift the market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 12?
30°C 35%
29°C 27%
31°C 26%
32°C 8.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
27%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 27%
31°C 26%
32°C 8.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
$605 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,021 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,252 Vol.
1%
27°C
$670 Vol.
2%
28°C
$200 Vol.
8%
29°C
$165 Vol.
27%
30°C
$330 Vol.
35%
31°C
$374 Vol.
26%
32°C
$331 Vol.
9%
33°C or higher
$323 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight clustering around 29–31°C for Shenzhen’s June 12 maximum as reflecting forecast uncertainty in early monsoon conditions. Latest model guidance points to daytime highs near 30°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit afternoon solar heating, while high humidity and weak steering flow keep temperatures from deviating sharply. Official climatology shows early-June averages near 30–31°C, but recent runs differ on convective timing and coverage, creating the balanced probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. New model updates or morning observations tomorrow could quickly shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$5,845Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight clustering around 29–31°C for Shenzhen’s June 12 maximum as reflecting forecast uncertainty in early monsoon conditions. Latest model guidance points to daytime highs near 30°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit afternoon solar heating, while high humidity and weak steering flow keep temperatures from deviating sharply. Official climatology shows early-June averages near 30–31°C, but recent runs differ on convective timing and coverage, creating the balanced probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. New model updates or morning observations tomorrow could quickly shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,845Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tight clustering around 29–31°C for Shenzhen’s June 12 maximum as reflecting forecast uncertainty in early monsoon conditions. Latest model guidance points to daytime highs near 30°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit afternoon solar heating, while high humidity and weak steering flow keep temperatures from deviating sharply. Official climatology shows early-June averages near 30–31°C, but recent runs differ on convective timing and coverage, creating the balanced probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. New model updates or morning observations tomorrow could quickly shift the market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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