Forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 show persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and high humidity moderating peak heating, with model consensus centering daytime maxima near 28–30 °C under southwesterly flow. This keeps the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing, as variable shower timing and intensity can shift the observed high by 1 °C. June climatology favors 30–31 °C averages, but current atmospheric conditions—elevated moisture and reduced insolation—favor slight suppression. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will determine whether the maximum clears 29 °C or remains capped at 28 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
30°C 22%
27°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
30°C 22%
27°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 show persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and high humidity moderating peak heating, with model consensus centering daytime maxima near 28–30 °C under southwesterly flow. This keeps the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing, as variable shower timing and intensity can shift the observed high by 1 °C. June climatology favors 30–31 °C averages, but current atmospheric conditions—elevated moisture and reduced insolation—favor slight suppression. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will determine whether the maximum clears 29 °C or remains capped at 28 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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