Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 around 28–31°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, expected scattered showers, and typical early-summer monsoon moisture that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble guidance shows modest variability tied to steering patterns and local humidity levels near 70%, keeping extremes unlikely despite seasonal averages near 29–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched outcomes around 27–30°C captures this model spread and resolution at the official Shuangliu station, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C+ given the absence of clear-sky or subsidence signals that could push peaks higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o menos 31%
28°C 23%
29°C 21%
30°C 12%
27°C o menos
31%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
27°C o menos 31%
28°C 23%
29°C 21%
30°C 12%
27°C o menos
31%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 around 28–31°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, expected scattered showers, and typical early-summer monsoon moisture that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble guidance shows modest variability tied to steering patterns and local humidity levels near 70%, keeping extremes unlikely despite seasonal averages near 29–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched outcomes around 27–30°C captures this model spread and resolution at the official Shuangliu station, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C+ given the absence of clear-sky or subsidence signals that could push peaks higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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