Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
28°C 33%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
33%
29°C
21%
30°C
16%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 33%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$139 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
29°C
$3 ปริมาณ
21%
30°C
$3 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$85 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$208 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C or higher
$197 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$503วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$503วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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