**Forecast models currently point to a daily maximum near 34°C in Taipei on June 30, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 33–35°C.** This reflects the latest guidance from agencies such as Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global numerical weather prediction ensembles, which show typical late-June subtropical conditions: high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convective activity that can either allow brief clearing and higher readings or produce thunderstorms that suppress the peak. Historical climatology supports this range, with June average highs of 31–33°C rising toward 34°C by month-end and rare excursions above 35°C or below 32°C under normal steering patterns. Recent developments include a wetter-than-average June so far, which has maintained elevated soil moisture and cloud cover, alongside the CWA’s early-June seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through summer. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture suggests limited deviation, but small shifts in the timing or coverage of afternoon showers—common in Taipei’s urban heat-island setting—remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high one degree in either direction before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 30?
35°C 31%
34°C 26%
36°C 20.9%
37°C 7.6%
NEW
$15,141 Vol.
NEW
$15,141 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
26%
35°C
31%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 31%
34°C 26%
36°C 20.9%
37°C 7.6%
NEW
$15,141 Vol.
NEW
$15,141 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
$2,904 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$954 Vol.
3%
32°C
$410 Vol.
3%
33°C
$537 Vol.
7%
34°C
$800 Vol.
26%
35°C
$781 Vol.
31%
36°C
$936 Vol.
21%
37°C
$370 Vol.
8%
38°C
$786 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$5,660 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently point to a daily maximum near 34°C in Taipei on June 30, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 33–35°C.** This reflects the latest guidance from agencies such as Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global numerical weather prediction ensembles, which show typical late-June subtropical conditions: high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convective activity that can either allow brief clearing and higher readings or produce thunderstorms that suppress the peak.
Historical climatology supports this range, with June average highs of 31–33°C rising toward 34°C by month-end and rare excursions above 35°C or below 32°C under normal steering patterns. Recent developments include a wetter-than-average June so far, which has maintained elevated soil moisture and cloud cover, alongside the CWA’s early-June seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through summer. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture suggests limited deviation, but small shifts in the timing or coverage of afternoon showers—common in Taipei’s urban heat-island setting—remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,141End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently point to a daily maximum near 34°C in Taipei on June 30, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 33–35°C.** This reflects the latest guidance from agencies such as Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global numerical weather prediction ensembles, which show typical late-June subtropical conditions: high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convective activity that can either allow brief clearing and higher readings or produce thunderstorms that suppress the peak.
Historical climatology supports this range, with June average highs of 31–33°C rising toward 34°C by month-end and rare excursions above 35°C or below 32°C under normal steering patterns. Recent developments include a wetter-than-average June so far, which has maintained elevated soil moisture and cloud cover, alongside the CWA’s early-June seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through summer. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture suggests limited deviation, but small shifts in the timing or coverage of afternoon showers—common in Taipei’s urban heat-island setting—remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,141End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently point to a daily maximum near 34°C in Taipei on June 30, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 33–35°C.** This reflects the latest guidance from agencies such as Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global numerical weather prediction ensembles, which show typical late-June subtropical conditions: high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convective activity that can either allow brief clearing and higher readings or produce thunderstorms that suppress the peak. Historical climatology supports this range, with June average highs of 31–33°C rising toward 34°C by month-end and rare excursions above 35°C or below 32°C under normal steering patterns. Recent developments include a wetter-than-average June so far, which has maintained elevated soil moisture and cloud cover, alongside the CWA’s early-June seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through summer. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture suggests limited deviation, but small shifts in the timing or coverage of afternoon showers—common in Taipei’s urban heat-island setting—remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high one degree in either direction before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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