Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 8?
30°C 52%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 3.8%
NEW
$13,667 Vol.
NEW
$13,667 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
11%
30°C
52%
31°C
33%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 3.8%
NEW
$13,667 Vol.
NEW
$13,667 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
27°C or below
$5,217 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$541 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,440 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,039 Vol.
52%
31°C
$1,182 Vol.
33%
32°C
$485 Vol.
4%
33°C
$751 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,486 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$982 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,667End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,667End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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