Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 37%
14°C 36%
16°C 15%
13°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
13%
14°C
31%
15°C
37%
16°C
15%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 37%
14°C 36%
16°C 15%
13°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
10°C
$0 KL.
<1%
11°C
$0 KL.
1%
12°C
$20 KL.
2%
13°C
$15 KL.
13%
14°C
$13 KL.
31%
15°C
$14 KL.
37%
16°C
$128 KL.
15%
17°C
$0 KL.
4%
18°C
$5 KL.
4%
19°C or higher
$15 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$107Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$107Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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