Canada enters the 2026 IIHF World Championship as the clear market leader due to its exceptional roster depth featuring multiple NHL standouts such as Sidney Crosby and Macklin Celebrini, which has positioned the team as the consensus favorite among traders. Switzerland benefits from significant home-ice advantage in Zurich and Fribourg along with a competitive group-stage start that includes an early victory over the United States, lifting its implied probability. Finland maintains strong positioning through its trademark defensive structure and history of consistent medal contention, while Sweden and the United States sit lower amid mixed early results. Group-stage outcomes and roster health continue to shape trader consensus around these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada 51%
Finland 16%
Switzerland 15%
Sweden 8%
$126,437 Vol.
$126,437 Vol.
Canada
51%
Finland
16%
Switzerland
15%
Sweden
8%
United States
7%
Czechia
5%
Slovakia
2%
Germany
1%
Slovenia
1%
Austria
1%
Latvia
<1%
Denmark
<1%
Norway
<1%
Hungary
<1%
Great Britain
<1%
Italy
<1%
Canada 51%
Finland 16%
Switzerland 15%
Sweden 8%
$126,437 Vol.
$126,437 Vol.
Canada
51%
Finland
16%
Switzerland
15%
Sweden
8%
United States
7%
Czechia
5%
Slovakia
2%
Germany
1%
Slovenia
1%
Austria
1%
Latvia
<1%
Denmark
<1%
Norway
<1%
Hungary
<1%
Great Britain
<1%
Italy
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada enters the 2026 IIHF World Championship as the clear market leader due to its exceptional roster depth featuring multiple NHL standouts such as Sidney Crosby and Macklin Celebrini, which has positioned the team as the consensus favorite among traders. Switzerland benefits from significant home-ice advantage in Zurich and Fribourg along with a competitive group-stage start that includes an early victory over the United States, lifting its implied probability. Finland maintains strong positioning through its trademark defensive structure and history of consistent medal contention, while Sweden and the United States sit lower amid mixed early results. Group-stage outcomes and roster health continue to shape trader consensus around these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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