Skip to main content
icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Nathan MacKinnon 33%

Cale Makar 31%

Mitch Marner 14%

Jack Eichel 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon 33%

Cale Makar 31%

Mitch Marner 14%

Jack Eichel 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon

$889 Vol.

34%

Cale Makar

$0 Vol.

31%

Mitch Marner

$0 Vol.

14%

Jack Eichel

$17 Vol.

10%

Cole Caufield

$0 Vol.

10%

Sebastian Aho

$20 Vol.

25%

Seth Jarvis

$0 Vol.

6%

Alex Tuch

$0 Vol.

5%

Rasmus Dahlin

$100 Vol.

5%

Martin Necas

$0 Vol.

5%

Nick Suzuki

$0 Vol.

4%

Cutter Guanthier

$10 Vol.

3%

Dan Vladar

$0 Vol.

1%

David Pastrnak

$100 Vol.

1%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$1,042 Vol.

<1%

Clayton Keller

$5 Vol.

<1%

Linus Ullmark

$71 Vol.

<1%

Quinn Hughes

$364 Vol.

<1%

Jake Oettinger

$5 Vol.

<1%

Sidney Crosby

$446 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Kucherov

$213 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Guenther

$5 Vol.

<1%

Connor McDavid

$191 Vol.

<1%

Anze Kopitar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leon Draisaitl

$5 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar top trader consensus for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy at 35% and 31% implied probabilities, respectively, reflecting their dominant playoff contributions amid the Colorado Avalanche's strong second-round push. MacKinnon's explosive scoring—multiple multi-point games and leading postseason goals—pairs with Makar's elite two-way play, including key assists and defensive impacts, creating a tight race as both drive the Presidents' Trophy winners deep. Mitch Marner's 14% share stems from Toronto's solid form, while Cole Caufield (10%) gains from Montreal's tied second-round series versus Buffalo heading into Game 5 tonight. No major injuries reported, keeping the field competitive with Vegas and Carolina contenders lurking.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,483
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar top trader consensus for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy at 35% and 31% implied probabilities, respectively, reflecting their dominant playoff contributions amid the Colorado Avalanche's strong second-round push. MacKinnon's explosive scoring—multiple multi-point games and leading postseason goals—pairs with Makar's elite two-way play, including key assists and defensive impacts, creating a tight race as both drive the Presidents' Trophy winners deep. Mitch Marner's 14% share stems from Toronto's solid form, while Cole Caufield (10%) gains from Montreal's tied second-round series versus Buffalo heading into Game 5 tonight. No major injuries reported, keeping the field competitive with Vegas and Carolina contenders lurking.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,483
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

57%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

28%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nathan MacKinnon" at 34%, followed by "Cale Makar" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is "Nathan MacKinnon" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cale Makar" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.