Canada enters the 2026 IIHF Men's World Championship as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability, driven by a loaded roster featuring Sidney Crosby, Macklin Celebrini, and multiple NHL standouts that traders view as superior depth compared to rivals. The United States, fresh off its 2025 gold-medal win over Switzerland in overtime, sits at 6.5% as defending champion but with a roster featuring more prospects and fewer established stars. Host Switzerland at 16.5% benefits from home-ice momentum and core NHL talent, while Finland and Sweden at 15.5% and 7.5% draw support from consistent international pedigree and recent form. Roster announcements in recent days have reinforced these gaps, with Canada's experience and star power anchoring trader consensus on the favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada 51%
Switzerland 17%
Finland 16%
Sweden 8%
$128,648 Vol.
$128,648 Vol.
Canada
51%
Switzerland
17%
Finland
16%
Sweden
8%
United States
7%
Czechia
5%
Slovakia
2%
Germany
1%
Latvia
<1%
Austria
<1%
Denmark
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Hungary
<1%
Great Britain
<1%
Norway
<1%
Italy
<1%
Canada 51%
Switzerland 17%
Finland 16%
Sweden 8%
$128,648 Vol.
$128,648 Vol.
Canada
51%
Switzerland
17%
Finland
16%
Sweden
8%
United States
7%
Czechia
5%
Slovakia
2%
Germany
1%
Latvia
<1%
Austria
<1%
Denmark
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Hungary
<1%
Great Britain
<1%
Norway
<1%
Italy
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada enters the 2026 IIHF Men's World Championship as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability, driven by a loaded roster featuring Sidney Crosby, Macklin Celebrini, and multiple NHL standouts that traders view as superior depth compared to rivals. The United States, fresh off its 2025 gold-medal win over Switzerland in overtime, sits at 6.5% as defending champion but with a roster featuring more prospects and fewer established stars. Host Switzerland at 16.5% benefits from home-ice momentum and core NHL talent, while Finland and Sweden at 15.5% and 7.5% draw support from consistent international pedigree and recent form. Roster announcements in recent days have reinforced these gaps, with Canada's experience and star power anchoring trader consensus on the favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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