Recent seismic activity is dominated by a magnitude 7.8 mainshock off southern Mindanao, Philippines, on June 8 that triggered aftershocks, including at least one confirmed M6.5 event in the Celebes Sea per USGS records. Global M6.5+ quakes typically average one to two per week, concentrated along subduction zones and plate boundaries, with sequences decaying rapidly under Omori’s law. With the June 8–14 window closing on the final day, trader consensus reflected in the 79% implied probability for zero events and 17% for one emphasizes expectations that aftershock magnitudes will fall below threshold absent new mainshocks elsewhere. USGS aftershock probability updates through the period continue to shape final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 जून से 14 जून तक कितने 6.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
8 जून से 14 जून तक कितने 6.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
0 86%
1 18%
2 2.5%
3 1.0%
$23,679 वॉल्यूम
$23,679 वॉल्यूम
15 जून, 2026
0
78%
1
18%
2
2%
3
1%
4
<1%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 86%
1 18%
2 2.5%
3 1.0%
$23,679 वॉल्यूम
$23,679 वॉल्यूम
15 जून, 2026
0
$8,019 वॉल्यूम
78%
1
$2,164 वॉल्यूम
18%
2
$2,298 वॉल्यूम
2%
3
$2,748 वॉल्यूम
1%
4
$3,152 वॉल्यूम
<1%
5
$1,770 वॉल्यूम
1%
>5
$3,528 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity is dominated by a magnitude 7.8 mainshock off southern Mindanao, Philippines, on June 8 that triggered aftershocks, including at least one confirmed M6.5 event in the Celebes Sea per USGS records. Global M6.5+ quakes typically average one to two per week, concentrated along subduction zones and plate boundaries, with sequences decaying rapidly under Omori’s law. With the June 8–14 window closing on the final day, trader consensus reflected in the 79% implied probability for zero events and 17% for one emphasizes expectations that aftershock magnitudes will fall below threshold absent new mainshocks elsewhere. USGS aftershock probability updates through the period continue to shape final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,679समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity is dominated by a magnitude 7.8 mainshock off southern Mindanao, Philippines, on June 8 that triggered aftershocks, including at least one confirmed M6.5 event in the Celebes Sea per USGS records. Global M6.5+ quakes typically average one to two per week, concentrated along subduction zones and plate boundaries, with sequences decaying rapidly under Omori’s law. With the June 8–14 window closing on the final day, trader consensus reflected in the 79% implied probability for zero events and 17% for one emphasizes expectations that aftershock magnitudes will fall below threshold absent new mainshocks elsewhere. USGS aftershock probability updates through the period continue to shape final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$23,679समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seismic activity is dominated by a magnitude 7.8 mainshock off southern Mindanao, Philippines, on June 8 that triggered aftershocks, including at least one confirmed M6.5 event in the Celebes Sea per USGS records. Global M6.5+ quakes typically average one to two per week, concentrated along subduction zones and plate boundaries, with sequences decaying rapidly under Omori’s law. With the June 8–14 window closing on the final day, trader consensus reflected in the 79% implied probability for zero events and 17% for one emphasizes expectations that aftershock magnitudes will fall below threshold absent new mainshocks elsewhere. USGS aftershock probability updates through the period continue to shape final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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