Trader consensus on no earthquake of magnitude 10.0 or higher before 2027 stems from fundamental geophysical limits on fault rupture mechanics. The largest recorded event reached only 9.5 on the moment magnitude scale during the 1960 Chile quake, and USGS seismic records confirm that rock strength, fault geometry, and tectonic stress accumulation cap realistic maxima near 9.6–9.7. No recent global monitoring data from USGS or other agencies shows any precursor activity suggesting larger ruptures are imminent. While measurement revisions or an unprecedented multi-fault cascade could theoretically alter outcomes, current models indicate such scenarios remain exceedingly rare within the remaining timeframe.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10.0 या 2027 से पहले भूकंप से ऊपर?
10.0 या 2027 से पहले भूकंप से ऊपर?
हाँ
$602,575 वॉल्यूम
$602,575 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$602,575 वॉल्यूम
$602,575 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on no earthquake of magnitude 10.0 or higher before 2027 stems from fundamental geophysical limits on fault rupture mechanics. The largest recorded event reached only 9.5 on the moment magnitude scale during the 1960 Chile quake, and USGS seismic records confirm that rock strength, fault geometry, and tectonic stress accumulation cap realistic maxima near 9.6–9.7. No recent global monitoring data from USGS or other agencies shows any precursor activity suggesting larger ruptures are imminent. While measurement revisions or an unprecedented multi-fault cascade could theoretically alter outcomes, current models indicate such scenarios remain exceedingly rare within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$602,575समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on no earthquake of magnitude 10.0 or higher before 2027 stems from fundamental geophysical limits on fault rupture mechanics. The largest recorded event reached only 9.5 on the moment magnitude scale during the 1960 Chile quake, and USGS seismic records confirm that rock strength, fault geometry, and tectonic stress accumulation cap realistic maxima near 9.6–9.7. No recent global monitoring data from USGS or other agencies shows any precursor activity suggesting larger ruptures are imminent. While measurement revisions or an unprecedented multi-fault cascade could theoretically alter outcomes, current models indicate such scenarios remain exceedingly rare within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$602,575समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on no earthquake of magnitude 10.0 or higher before 2027 stems from fundamental geophysical limits on fault rupture mechanics. The largest recorded event reached only 9.5 on the moment magnitude scale during the 1960 Chile quake, and USGS seismic records confirm that rock strength, fault geometry, and tectonic stress accumulation cap realistic maxima near 9.6–9.7. No recent global monitoring data from USGS or other agencies shows any precursor activity suggesting larger ruptures are imminent. While measurement revisions or an unprecedented multi-fault cascade could theoretically alter outcomes, current models indicate such scenarios remain exceedingly rare within the remaining timeframe.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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