Mojtaba Khamenei holds an overwhelming market lead because Iran’s Assembly of Experts formally selected him as Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February during the 2026 Iran war. The unanimous vote by the clerical body, backed by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps influence, established Mojtaba as the constitutional head of state with command authority over security forces. No subsequent leadership change, coup, or Assembly reversal has occurred through mid-June 2026. Other listed figures remain marginal because they lack comparable institutional support or current office: exiled opposition candidates such as Reza Pahlavi face regime barriers, while clerics like Alireza Arafi or officials like Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf hold secondary roles without succession momentum. Trader pricing therefore reflects continuity under the newly installed leader through year-end absent major disruption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
मोज़तबा खामनेई 83.8%
रज़ा पहलवी 3.7%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ 3.3%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.4%
$16,931,098 वॉल्यूम
$16,931,098 वॉल्यूम
मोज़तबा खामनेई
84%
रज़ा पहलवी
4%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
3%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
1%
हसन रूहानी
<1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
<1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
<1%
हसन खोमेनी
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
<1%
मरीयम रजवी
<1%
मसूद रजवी
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
<1%
नविद शोमाली
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
<1%
सादेग महसूली
<1%
सईद जल्लीली
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
<1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
<1%
अहमद वाहिदी
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
<1%
अली मुतहरी
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
<1%
मोज़तबा खामनेई 83.8%
रज़ा पहलवी 3.7%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ 3.3%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.4%
$16,931,098 वॉल्यूम
$16,931,098 वॉल्यूम
मोज़तबा खामनेई
84%
रज़ा पहलवी
4%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
3%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
1%
हसन रूहानी
<1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
<1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
<1%
हसन खोमेनी
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
<1%
मरीयम रजवी
<1%
मसूद रजवी
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
<1%
नविद शोमाली
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
<1%
सादेग महसूली
<1%
सईद जल्लीली
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
<1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
<1%
अहमद वाहिदी
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
<1%
अली मुतहरी
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei holds an overwhelming market lead because Iran’s Assembly of Experts formally selected him as Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February during the 2026 Iran war. The unanimous vote by the clerical body, backed by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps influence, established Mojtaba as the constitutional head of state with command authority over security forces. No subsequent leadership change, coup, or Assembly reversal has occurred through mid-June 2026. Other listed figures remain marginal because they lack comparable institutional support or current office: exiled opposition candidates such as Reza Pahlavi face regime barriers, while clerics like Alireza Arafi or officials like Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf hold secondary roles without succession momentum. Trader pricing therefore reflects continuity under the newly installed leader through year-end absent major disruption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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