Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on June 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid a typical late-June subtropical pattern of high humidity and light easterly flow. Trader consensus clusters around 78–83°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4°F through differences in radiational cooling rates after sunset. Persistent onshore flow from the warm Atlantic moderates extremes while scattered convection may enhance or limit nocturnal temperature drops depending on timing and coverage. Historical June averages near 77°F provide baseline context, but the tight spread of implied probabilities reflects model uncertainty in exact dewpoint and sky conditions expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 28?
82-83°F 81%
80-81°F 14%
78-79°F 7.3%
74-75°F <1%
$16,898 Vol.
$16,898 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
81%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 81%
80-81°F 14%
78-79°F 7.3%
74-75°F <1%
$16,898 Vol.
$16,898 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
81%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on June 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid a typical late-June subtropical pattern of high humidity and light easterly flow. Trader consensus clusters around 78–83°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4°F through differences in radiational cooling rates after sunset. Persistent onshore flow from the warm Atlantic moderates extremes while scattered convection may enhance or limit nocturnal temperature drops depending on timing and coverage. Historical June averages near 77°F provide baseline context, but the tight spread of implied probabilities reflects model uncertainty in exact dewpoint and sky conditions expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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