Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?
23°C 45%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
45%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
19°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$302 Vol.
1%
21°C
$59 Vol.
3%
22°C
$379 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1,419 Vol.
45%
24°C
$175 Vol.
31%
25°C
$23 Vol.
4%
26°C
$741 Vol.
1%
27°C
$463 Vol.
1%
28°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,494End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,494End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions