Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Taipei on September 9 near 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow advecting humid maritime air and scattered showers or drizzle that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range by trapping longwave radiation, while light winds prevent strong surface mixing. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns, where baseline lows hover around 24°C but shift lower with increased precipitation or clearer skies. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on this narrow band, with uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in shower timing or wind speed that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 23%
25°C 22%
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
5%
22°C
23%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
9%
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 23%
25°C 22%
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
5%
22°C
23%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Taipei on September 9 near 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow advecting humid maritime air and scattered showers or drizzle that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range by trapping longwave radiation, while light winds prevent strong surface mixing. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns, where baseline lows hover around 24°C but shift lower with increased precipitation or clearer skies. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on this narrow band, with uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in shower timing or wind speed that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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