**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Taipei on September 10, driven by strengthening northeasterly monsoon winds that advect cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and light-to-moderate winds further moderate overnight drops, consistent with early-September climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions earlier in the month have heightened trader attention to variability, yet the absence of typhoon influences or strong frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C (combined ~61.5% implied probability). Lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only with unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while warmer minima would require suppressed cloud cover or southerly flow shifts not currently indicated. New model runs and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
20°C 40%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
19°C or below 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
35%
20°C
40%
21°C
22%
22°C
22%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C or higher
34%
20°C 40%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
19°C or below 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
35%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$25 Vol.
40%
28°C
$30 Vol.
40%
29°C or higher
$25 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Taipei on September 10, driven by strengthening northeasterly monsoon winds that advect cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and light-to-moderate winds further moderate overnight drops, consistent with early-September climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions earlier in the month have heightened trader attention to variability, yet the absence of typhoon influences or strong frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C (combined ~61.5% implied probability). Lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only with unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while warmer minima would require suppressed cloud cover or southerly flow shifts not currently indicated. New model runs and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$90End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Taipei on September 10, driven by strengthening northeasterly monsoon winds that advect cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and light-to-moderate winds further moderate overnight drops, consistent with early-September climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions earlier in the month have heightened trader attention to variability, yet the absence of typhoon influences or strong frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C (combined ~61.5% implied probability). Lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only with unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while warmer minima would require suppressed cloud cover or southerly flow shifts not currently indicated. New model runs and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Taipei on September 10, driven by strengthening northeasterly monsoon winds that advect cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and light-to-moderate winds further moderate overnight drops, consistent with early-September climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C. Recent cooler-than-normal conditions earlier in the month have heightened trader attention to variability, yet the absence of typhoon influences or strong frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C (combined ~61.5% implied probability). Lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only with unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while warmer minima would require suppressed cloud cover or southerly flow shifts not currently indicated. New model runs and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions