Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms associated with the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which typically limit peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Official outlooks project daytime maxima near 28–31°C on September 11, with high humidity and southwesterly flow maintaining elevated dew points. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of occasional clearer intervals or model runs showing modest warming potential above seasonal norms. Lower outcomes around 31°C capture the high likelihood of widespread convection suppressing temperatures, while probabilities above 33°C remain low due to historical September baselines and current atmospheric moisture. Updated regional guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
43%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7 Vol.
1%
29°C
$201 Vol.
3%
30°C
$371 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,754 Vol.
23%
32°C
$851 Vol.
43%
33°C
$2,737 Vol.
25%
34°C or higher
$352 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms associated with the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which typically limit peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Official outlooks project daytime maxima near 28–31°C on September 11, with high humidity and southwesterly flow maintaining elevated dew points. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of occasional clearer intervals or model runs showing modest warming potential above seasonal norms. Lower outcomes around 31°C capture the high likelihood of widespread convection suppressing temperatures, while probabilities above 33°C remain low due to historical September baselines and current atmospheric moisture. Updated regional guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,737End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms associated with the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which typically limit peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Official outlooks project daytime maxima near 28–31°C on September 11, with high humidity and southwesterly flow maintaining elevated dew points. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of occasional clearer intervals or model runs showing modest warming potential above seasonal norms. Lower outcomes around 31°C capture the high likelihood of widespread convection suppressing temperatures, while probabilities above 33°C remain low due to historical September baselines and current atmospheric moisture. Updated regional guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,737End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms associated with the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which typically limit peak heating through reduced solar insolation. Official outlooks project daytime maxima near 28–31°C on September 11, with high humidity and southwesterly flow maintaining elevated dew points. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of occasional clearer intervals or model runs showing modest warming potential above seasonal norms. Lower outcomes around 31°C capture the high likelihood of widespread convection suppressing temperatures, while probabilities above 33°C remain low due to historical September baselines and current atmospheric moisture. Updated regional guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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