**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
18°C 62%
19°C 37%
20°C 4%
22°C <1%
$47,474 Vol.
$47,474 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
62%
19°C
37%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 62%
19°C 37%
20°C 4%
22°C <1%
$47,474 Vol.
$47,474 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,722 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,937 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,106 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,985 Vol.
62%
19°C
$10,521 Vol.
37%
20°C
$7,689 Vol.
4%
21°C
$4,445 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,825 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$47,474End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,474End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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