Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (56.5%) to a daily maximum of 32°C in Panama City on September 12, reflecting model guidance and September climatology that place typical highs near 30°C under humid tropical conditions with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit extreme heating, while recent National Meteorological Service of Panama observations show daytime peaks climbing from overnight lows around 25°C. A 29–31°C range remains plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or winds strengthen, consistent with the combined 32.5% probability on those outcomes; probabilities below 30°C stay minimal absent an atypical cool surge. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day observations will refine resolution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
32°C 57%
31°C 29%
33°C or higher 11%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
29%
32°C
57%
33°C or higher
11%
32°C 57%
31°C 29%
33°C or higher 11%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
23°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$372 Vol.
2%
30°C
$368 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,406 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,239 Vol.
57%
33°C or higher
$1,623 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (56.5%) to a daily maximum of 32°C in Panama City on September 12, reflecting model guidance and September climatology that place typical highs near 30°C under humid tropical conditions with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit extreme heating, while recent National Meteorological Service of Panama observations show daytime peaks climbing from overnight lows around 25°C. A 29–31°C range remains plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or winds strengthen, consistent with the combined 32.5% probability on those outcomes; probabilities below 30°C stay minimal absent an atypical cool surge. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day observations will refine resolution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,989End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (56.5%) to a daily maximum of 32°C in Panama City on September 12, reflecting model guidance and September climatology that place typical highs near 30°C under humid tropical conditions with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit extreme heating, while recent National Meteorological Service of Panama observations show daytime peaks climbing from overnight lows around 25°C. A 29–31°C range remains plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or winds strengthen, consistent with the combined 32.5% probability on those outcomes; probabilities below 30°C stay minimal absent an atypical cool surge. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day observations will refine resolution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,989End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (56.5%) to a daily maximum of 32°C in Panama City on September 12, reflecting model guidance and September climatology that place typical highs near 30°C under humid tropical conditions with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit extreme heating, while recent National Meteorological Service of Panama observations show daytime peaks climbing from overnight lows around 25°C. A 29–31°C range remains plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or winds strengthen, consistent with the combined 32.5% probability on those outcomes; probabilities below 30°C stay minimal absent an atypical cool surge. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day observations will refine resolution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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