Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and KMA guidance, indicate partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 12 with light northeast winds under a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28°C amid limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, while the tight spread between those two outcomes underscores uncertainty in peak insolation and exact wind speeds during the warmest hours. Updated KMA short-term guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle warming trends materialize before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 12?
29°C 44%
30°C 35%
28°C 14%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
35%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 35%
28°C 14%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
$1,456 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$25 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2 Vol.
14%
29°C
$68 Vol.
44%
30°C
$507 Vol.
35%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and KMA guidance, indicate partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 12 with light northeast winds under a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28°C amid limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, while the tight spread between those two outcomes underscores uncertainty in peak insolation and exact wind speeds during the warmest hours. Updated KMA short-term guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle warming trends materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,142End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and KMA guidance, indicate partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 12 with light northeast winds under a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28°C amid limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, while the tight spread between those two outcomes underscores uncertainty in peak insolation and exact wind speeds during the warmest hours. Updated KMA short-term guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle warming trends materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,142End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and KMA guidance, indicate partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 12 with light northeast winds under a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima clustered around 27–28°C amid limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, while the tight spread between those two outcomes underscores uncertainty in peak insolation and exact wind speeds during the warmest hours. Updated KMA short-term guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle warming trends materialize before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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