**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 10, 2026, point to a high near 91°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent Gulf moisture and light easterly to southeasterly winds are maintaining warm, humid conditions, while scattered convection tied to returning tropical moisture introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures. Cloud cover and rainfall from sea-breeze or outflow-driven storms could cap readings in the upper 80s to low 90s, whereas clearer periods might allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 90–93°F bins, reflecting model consensus on near-normal September warmth tempered by typical late-summer instability. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 10?
90-91°F 35%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 35%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
$124 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$24 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$24 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$99 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 10, 2026, point to a high near 91°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent Gulf moisture and light easterly to southeasterly winds are maintaining warm, humid conditions, while scattered convection tied to returning tropical moisture introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures. Cloud cover and rainfall from sea-breeze or outflow-driven storms could cap readings in the upper 80s to low 90s, whereas clearer periods might allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 90–93°F bins, reflecting model consensus on near-normal September warmth tempered by typical late-summer instability. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$278End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 10, 2026, point to a high near 91°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent Gulf moisture and light easterly to southeasterly winds are maintaining warm, humid conditions, while scattered convection tied to returning tropical moisture introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures. Cloud cover and rainfall from sea-breeze or outflow-driven storms could cap readings in the upper 80s to low 90s, whereas clearer periods might allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 90–93°F bins, reflecting model consensus on near-normal September warmth tempered by typical late-summer instability. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$278End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 10, 2026, point to a high near 91°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent Gulf moisture and light easterly to southeasterly winds are maintaining warm, humid conditions, while scattered convection tied to returning tropical moisture introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures. Cloud cover and rainfall from sea-breeze or outflow-driven storms could cap readings in the upper 80s to low 90s, whereas clearer periods might allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 90–93°F bins, reflecting model consensus on near-normal September warmth tempered by typical late-summer instability. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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