**Trader consensus centers on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 79%.** Official National Weather Service and private forecasts consistently project a minimum near 78–80°F, driven by elevated dew points (mid-70s), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from Houston-area airports show early-morning readings holding around 78–81°F amid calm to light southeast winds and high humidity, consistent with the warmest September climatology on record in recent years. Lower ranges (74–75°F or below) retain secondary probability near 45–50% only if unexpected clearing allows more cooling than modeled, while bins above 80°F carry negligible odds given the current steering pattern and moisture. Upcoming model updates and real-time station data through the evening will determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
78-79°F 86%
71°F or below 83%
72-73°F 74%
74-75°F 40%
$1,512 Vol.
$1,512 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
83%
72-73°F
74%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
86%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 86%
71°F or below 83%
72-73°F 74%
74-75°F 40%
$1,512 Vol.
$1,512 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
$60 Vol.
83%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
74%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$94 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$29 Vol.
86%
80-81°F
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$111 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$74 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 79%.** Official National Weather Service and private forecasts consistently project a minimum near 78–80°F, driven by elevated dew points (mid-70s), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling.
Recent observations from Houston-area airports show early-morning readings holding around 78–81°F amid calm to light southeast winds and high humidity, consistent with the warmest September climatology on record in recent years. Lower ranges (74–75°F or below) retain secondary probability near 45–50% only if unexpected clearing allows more cooling than modeled, while bins above 80°F carry negligible odds given the current steering pattern and moisture.
Upcoming model updates and real-time station data through the evening will determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,512End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 79%.** Official National Weather Service and private forecasts consistently project a minimum near 78–80°F, driven by elevated dew points (mid-70s), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling.
Recent observations from Houston-area airports show early-morning readings holding around 78–81°F amid calm to light southeast winds and high humidity, consistent with the warmest September climatology on record in recent years. Lower ranges (74–75°F or below) retain secondary probability near 45–50% only if unexpected clearing allows more cooling than modeled, while bins above 80°F carry negligible odds given the current steering pattern and moisture.
Upcoming model updates and real-time station data through the evening will determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,512End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 79%.** Official National Weather Service and private forecasts consistently project a minimum near 78–80°F, driven by elevated dew points (mid-70s), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations from Houston-area airports show early-morning readings holding around 78–81°F amid calm to light southeast winds and high humidity, consistent with the warmest September climatology on record in recent years. Lower ranges (74–75°F or below) retain secondary probability near 45–50% only if unexpected clearing allows more cooling than modeled, while bins above 80°F carry negligible odds given the current steering pattern and moisture. Upcoming model updates and real-time station data through the evening will determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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