Recent influx of cooler, drier air from the north has suppressed daytime highs across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning 24 °C as the leading outcome with 50.5 % implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear to cloudy conditions on September 10 with light northeasterly winds, producing afternoon maxima centered near 24–25 °C after morning lows around 16 °C. This marks a 2–4 °C drop from September 9 readings near 27 °C and aligns with late-summer climatology under high-pressure influence. Trader positioning around 23–25 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
24°C 51%
23°C 24%
25°C 16%
26°C 6%
NEW
$33,852 Vol.
NEW
$33,852 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
24%
24°C
51%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 24%
25°C 16%
26°C 6%
NEW
$33,852 Vol.
NEW
$33,852 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$3,107 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$817 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,967 Vol.
3%
23°C
$4,788 Vol.
24%
24°C
$3,463 Vol.
51%
25°C
$2,662 Vol.
16%
26°C
$2,180 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3,029 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,621 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$5,572 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler, drier air from the north has suppressed daytime highs across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning 24 °C as the leading outcome with 50.5 % implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear to cloudy conditions on September 10 with light northeasterly winds, producing afternoon maxima centered near 24–25 °C after morning lows around 16 °C. This marks a 2–4 °C drop from September 9 readings near 27 °C and aligns with late-summer climatology under high-pressure influence. Trader positioning around 23–25 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,852End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler, drier air from the north has suppressed daytime highs across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning 24 °C as the leading outcome with 50.5 % implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear to cloudy conditions on September 10 with light northeasterly winds, producing afternoon maxima centered near 24–25 °C after morning lows around 16 °C. This marks a 2–4 °C drop from September 9 readings near 27 °C and aligns with late-summer climatology under high-pressure influence. Trader positioning around 23–25 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,852End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent influx of cooler, drier air from the north has suppressed daytime highs across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning 24 °C as the leading outcome with 50.5 % implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear to cloudy conditions on September 10 with light northeasterly winds, producing afternoon maxima centered near 24–25 °C after morning lows around 16 °C. This marks a 2–4 °C drop from September 9 readings near 27 °C and aligns with late-summer climatology under high-pressure influence. Trader positioning around 23–25 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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