Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
NEW
$28,512 Vol.
NEW
$28,512 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
21%
28°C
47%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
NEW
$28,512 Vol.
NEW
$28,512 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
$532 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,438 Vol.
3%
27°C
$8,470 Vol.
21%
28°C
$3,833 Vol.
47%
29°C
$7,340 Vol.
29%
30°C
$2,524 Vol.
5%
31°C
$605 Vol.
1%
32°C
$623 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,512End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,512End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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