Latest forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to peak afternoon temperatures in Chongqing on September 9 reaching the mid-30s Celsius, supported by lingering warm air advection, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that permit strong solar heating without widespread convective cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 35–37°C outcomes (82% combined implied probability) aligns with ensemble runs showing limited model spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-35°C extremes account for uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or any late-day shower development. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations on the day will determine final resolution against historical early-September baselines near 30–32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
36°C 40%
37°C 25%
35°C 25%
38°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
25%
36°C
40%
37°C
25%
38°C
7%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 25%
35°C 25%
38°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
31°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$104 Vol.
1%
34°C
$365 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,490 Vol.
25%
36°C
$1,312 Vol.
40%
37°C
$2,796 Vol.
25%
38°C
$977 Vol.
7%
39°C
$193 Vol.
2%
40°C
$275 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to peak afternoon temperatures in Chongqing on September 9 reaching the mid-30s Celsius, supported by lingering warm air advection, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that permit strong solar heating without widespread convective cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 35–37°C outcomes (82% combined implied probability) aligns with ensemble runs showing limited model spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-35°C extremes account for uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or any late-day shower development. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations on the day will determine final resolution against historical early-September baselines near 30–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,431End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to peak afternoon temperatures in Chongqing on September 9 reaching the mid-30s Celsius, supported by lingering warm air advection, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that permit strong solar heating without widespread convective cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 35–37°C outcomes (82% combined implied probability) aligns with ensemble runs showing limited model spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-35°C extremes account for uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or any late-day shower development. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations on the day will determine final resolution against historical early-September baselines near 30–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,431End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to peak afternoon temperatures in Chongqing on September 9 reaching the mid-30s Celsius, supported by lingering warm air advection, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that permit strong solar heating without widespread convective cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 35–37°C outcomes (82% combined implied probability) aligns with ensemble runs showing limited model spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-35°C extremes account for uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or any late-day shower development. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and hourly observations on the day will determine final resolution against historical early-September baselines near 30–32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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