Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating in the subtropical monsoon climate. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent observations of 33–34°C highs support this range, as easterly winds and increasing humidity moderate temperatures without extreme heat buildup. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in this band, with low probabilities for outliers below 30°C or above 34°C given stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final daily observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 37%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
37%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$384 Vol.
2%
29°C
$178 Vol.
2%
30°C
$784 Vol.
10%
31°C
$3,452 Vol.
25%
32°C
$922 Vol.
37%
33°C
$627 Vol.
22%
34°C
$306 Vol.
6%
35°C
$558 Vol.
1%
36°C
$726 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating in the subtropical monsoon climate. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent observations of 33–34°C highs support this range, as easterly winds and increasing humidity moderate temperatures without extreme heat buildup. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in this band, with low probabilities for outliers below 30°C or above 34°C given stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,924End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating in the subtropical monsoon climate. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent observations of 33–34°C highs support this range, as easterly winds and increasing humidity moderate temperatures without extreme heat buildup. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in this band, with low probabilities for outliers below 30°C or above 34°C given stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,924End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating in the subtropical monsoon climate. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent observations of 33–34°C highs support this range, as easterly winds and increasing humidity moderate temperatures without extreme heat buildup. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in this band, with low probabilities for outliers below 30°C or above 34°C given stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final daily observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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