Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with daytime highs near 32°C and overnight lows likely between 23–26°C on September 9, driven by moderate easterly flow and variable cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, which depends on the precise timing and intensity of expected light rain or showers that could enhance cooling under clearer intervals or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Steering patterns from the western Pacific and any late adjustments in regional model runs (such as those from CMA or ECMWF) remain key variables that could shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 59%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
69%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
59%
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 59%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with daytime highs near 32°C and overnight lows likely between 23–26°C on September 9, driven by moderate easterly flow and variable cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, which depends on the precise timing and intensity of expected light rain or showers that could enhance cooling under clearer intervals or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Steering patterns from the western Pacific and any late adjustments in regional model runs (such as those from CMA or ECMWF) remain key variables that could shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with daytime highs near 32°C and overnight lows likely between 23–26°C on September 9, driven by moderate easterly flow and variable cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, which depends on the precise timing and intensity of expected light rain or showers that could enhance cooling under clearer intervals or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Steering patterns from the western Pacific and any late adjustments in regional model runs (such as those from CMA or ECMWF) remain key variables that could shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with daytime highs near 32°C and overnight lows likely between 23–26°C on September 9, driven by moderate easterly flow and variable cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, which depends on the precise timing and intensity of expected light rain or showers that could enhance cooling under clearer intervals or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Steering patterns from the western Pacific and any late adjustments in regional model runs (such as those from CMA or ECMWF) remain key variables that could shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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