Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 7, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly cooler continental air, extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically range 28–31°C absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Multiple sources, including Worldmeteo and WeatherBug, converge on 29–30°C maxima with lows near 22–24°C, reinforcing trader positioning around those thresholds while leaving room for minor model shifts from updated runs. Official observations from Shanghai stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 7?
30°C 50%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
38%
30°C
50%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$520 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$22 Vol.
5%
29°C
$217 Vol.
38%
30°C
$345 Vol.
50%
31°C
$31 Vol.
10%
32°C
$13 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 7, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly cooler continental air, extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically range 28–31°C absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Multiple sources, including Worldmeteo and WeatherBug, converge on 29–30°C maxima with lows near 22–24°C, reinforcing trader positioning around those thresholds while leaving room for minor model shifts from updated runs. Official observations from Shanghai stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,287End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 7, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly cooler continental air, extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically range 28–31°C absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Multiple sources, including Worldmeteo and WeatherBug, converge on 29–30°C maxima with lows near 22–24°C, reinforcing trader positioning around those thresholds while leaving room for minor model shifts from updated runs. Official observations from Shanghai stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,287End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 7, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly cooler continental air, extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically range 28–31°C absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Multiple sources, including Worldmeteo and WeatherBug, converge on 29–30°C maxima with lows near 22–24°C, reinforcing trader positioning around those thresholds while leaving room for minor model shifts from updated runs. Official observations from Shanghai stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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