Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs and agency data, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances. This consensus stems from a stable post-rain pattern following earlier September showers, with no significant frontal systems or tropical influences altering steering flows or intensification potential. Historical climatology for early September in the region supports typical maxima near 27–30°C, positioning the current outlook slightly above average yet consistent across runs. Minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover keeps 29°C and 30°C as the closest outcomes, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 52%
29°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
31%
30°C
52%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
29°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,488 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,531 Vol.
4%
29°C
$967 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,579 Vol.
52%
31°C
$1,103 Vol.
15%
32°C
$634 Vol.
2%
33°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs and agency data, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances. This consensus stems from a stable post-rain pattern following earlier September showers, with no significant frontal systems or tropical influences altering steering flows or intensification potential. Historical climatology for early September in the region supports typical maxima near 27–30°C, positioning the current outlook slightly above average yet consistent across runs. Minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover keeps 29°C and 30°C as the closest outcomes, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,338End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs and agency data, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances. This consensus stems from a stable post-rain pattern following earlier September showers, with no significant frontal systems or tropical influences altering steering flows or intensification potential. Historical climatology for early September in the region supports typical maxima near 27–30°C, positioning the current outlook slightly above average yet consistent across runs. Minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover keeps 29°C and 30°C as the closest outcomes, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,338End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs and agency data, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances. This consensus stems from a stable post-rain pattern following earlier September showers, with no significant frontal systems or tropical influences altering steering flows or intensification potential. Historical climatology for early September in the region supports typical maxima near 27–30°C, positioning the current outlook slightly above average yet consistent across runs. Minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover keeps 29°C and 30°C as the closest outcomes, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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