Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological updates indicate partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, following scattered showers on September 5–6 that have moderated temperatures around the 32°C mark. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds, support modest daytime heating, while historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C and a 35.2°C record provide context for the elevated odds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C, aligns with this model consensus ahead of final National Meteorological Center guidance expected within 48 hours, though small shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
35°C 44%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
10%
34°C
23%
35°C
44%
36°C
25%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 44%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$15 Vol.
5%
33°C
$32 Vol.
10%
34°C
$71 Vol.
23%
35°C
$490 Vol.
44%
36°C
$101 Vol.
25%
37°C
$30 Vol.
6%
38°C
$7 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$61 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological updates indicate partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, following scattered showers on September 5–6 that have moderated temperatures around the 32°C mark. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds, support modest daytime heating, while historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C and a 35.2°C record provide context for the elevated odds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C, aligns with this model consensus ahead of final National Meteorological Center guidance expected within 48 hours, though small shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could alter outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$817End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological updates indicate partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, following scattered showers on September 5–6 that have moderated temperatures around the 32°C mark. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds, support modest daytime heating, while historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C and a 35.2°C record provide context for the elevated odds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C, aligns with this model consensus ahead of final National Meteorological Center guidance expected within 48 hours, though small shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could alter outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$817End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological updates indicate partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, following scattered showers on September 5–6 that have moderated temperatures around the 32°C mark. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds, support modest daytime heating, while historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C and a 35.2°C record provide context for the elevated odds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C, aligns with this model consensus ahead of final National Meteorological Center guidance expected within 48 hours, though small shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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