Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a post-frontal high-pressure setup over southern Germany after widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 5. This pattern supports mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and efficient daytime heating on September 6, with afternoon maxima centered near 23–25°C. Historical climatology places the September 6 average high at 21.2°C, but the current ridge and reduced cloud cover elevate expectations modestly above baseline without pushing into late-summer extremes. Market-implied odds clustering at 24°C (51.5%) with secondary support at 23°C and 25°C reflect tight model consensus on this range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and limited moisture return. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 52%
23°C 17%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
NEW
$27,810 Vol.
NEW
$27,810 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
52%
25°C
17%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 52%
23°C 17%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
NEW
$27,810 Vol.
NEW
$27,810 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$350 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25,362 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
1%
21°C
$84 Vol.
2%
22°C
$271 Vol.
4%
23°C
$513 Vol.
17%
24°C
$708 Vol.
52%
25°C
$389 Vol.
17%
26°C
$17 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a post-frontal high-pressure setup over southern Germany after widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 5. This pattern supports mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and efficient daytime heating on September 6, with afternoon maxima centered near 23–25°C. Historical climatology places the September 6 average high at 21.2°C, but the current ridge and reduced cloud cover elevate expectations modestly above baseline without pushing into late-summer extremes. Market-implied odds clustering at 24°C (51.5%) with secondary support at 23°C and 25°C reflect tight model consensus on this range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and limited moisture return. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$27,810End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a post-frontal high-pressure setup over southern Germany after widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 5. This pattern supports mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and efficient daytime heating on September 6, with afternoon maxima centered near 23–25°C. Historical climatology places the September 6 average high at 21.2°C, but the current ridge and reduced cloud cover elevate expectations modestly above baseline without pushing into late-summer extremes. Market-implied odds clustering at 24°C (51.5%) with secondary support at 23°C and 25°C reflect tight model consensus on this range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and limited moisture return. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,810End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD-MOS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a post-frontal high-pressure setup over southern Germany after widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 5. This pattern supports mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and efficient daytime heating on September 6, with afternoon maxima centered near 23–25°C. Historical climatology places the September 6 average high at 21.2°C, but the current ridge and reduced cloud cover elevate expectations modestly above baseline without pushing into late-summer extremes. Market-implied odds clustering at 24°C (51.5%) with secondary support at 23°C and 25°C reflect tight model consensus on this range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and limited moisture return. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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