Recent forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 6 will likely fall in the 13–14°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season that limits nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows daytime highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus alongside historical September variability, where clear-sky episodes can produce cooler readings near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for the 12–14°C outcomes versus warmer or colder bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
17°C or higher 96%
7°C or below 59%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
7°C or below
59%
8°C
31%
9°C
31%
10°C
30%
11°C
31%
12°C
31%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C or higher
96%
17°C or higher 96%
7°C or below 59%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
8°C
$0 Vol.
31%
9°C
$0 Vol.
31%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 6 will likely fall in the 13–14°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season that limits nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows daytime highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus alongside historical September variability, where clear-sky episodes can produce cooler readings near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for the 12–14°C outcomes versus warmer or colder bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 6 will likely fall in the 13–14°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season that limits nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows daytime highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus alongside historical September variability, where clear-sky episodes can produce cooler readings near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for the 12–14°C outcomes versus warmer or colder bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 6 will likely fall in the 13–14°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season that limits nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows daytime highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus alongside historical September variability, where clear-sky episodes can produce cooler readings near 10–12°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for the 12–14°C outcomes versus warmer or colder bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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