Current atmospheric patterns on September 5, 2026, feature typical late-summer moisture across the southeastern and central United States, with National Weather Service observations and short-range models indicating scattered showers and thunderstorms concentrated in Florida and adjacent coastal areas due to high humidity, sea-breeze convergence, and weak steering flow. NOAA station data and radar trends show elevated precipitation probabilities in the South, while drier high-pressure influence limits activity farther north and west. Traders monitor real-time updates from NWS forecast offices and hourly surface observations, as resolution hinges on official daily totals or measurable rain at specific reporting stations. Model consensus supports localized convective development through afternoon heating, with any shifts in the subtropical ridge or tropical moisture influx capable of altering coverage before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 5?
New York, NY
27%
Los Angeles, CA
9%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
74%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
7%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
26%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
83%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
75%
San Francisco, CA
26%
$335 Vol.
New York, NY
27%
Los Angeles, CA
9%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
74%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
7%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
26%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
83%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
75%
San Francisco, CA
26%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current atmospheric patterns on September 5, 2026, feature typical late-summer moisture across the southeastern and central United States, with National Weather Service observations and short-range models indicating scattered showers and thunderstorms concentrated in Florida and adjacent coastal areas due to high humidity, sea-breeze convergence, and weak steering flow. NOAA station data and radar trends show elevated precipitation probabilities in the South, while drier high-pressure influence limits activity farther north and west. Traders monitor real-time updates from NWS forecast offices and hourly surface observations, as resolution hinges on official daily totals or measurable rain at specific reporting stations. Model consensus supports localized convective development through afternoon heating, with any shifts in the subtropical ridge or tropical moisture influx capable of altering coverage before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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