**Forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 24–25°C on September 6 amid the rainy season’s typical high humidity, frequent showers, and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.** Official and model guidance from sources such as GFS-based outlooks and regional summaries consistently show minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 23–24°C. The near-even market split between ≤20°C (50%) and ≥30°C (49%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in rainfall timing and intensity can alter how much heat is trapped or lost overnight, while any unexpected clearer period could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Specific temperature buckets clustered around 24–26°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. New model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
20°C or below 100%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
20°C or below
100%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 100%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
20°C or below
100%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 24–25°C on September 6 amid the rainy season’s typical high humidity, frequent showers, and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.** Official and model guidance from sources such as GFS-based outlooks and regional summaries consistently show minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 23–24°C. The near-even market split between ≤20°C (50%) and ≥30°C (49%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in rainfall timing and intensity can alter how much heat is trapped or lost overnight, while any unexpected clearer period could allow modest cooling toward the lower end of the distribution. Specific temperature buckets clustered around 24–26°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. New model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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