Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 5, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C minima amid the rainy season. Trader consensus on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins at equal 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty from an active tropical wave (onda tropical 42) that has elevated atmospheric moisture and cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling depends on cloud fraction, precipitable water, and wind mixing; persistent low-level humidity and showers can limit temperature drops, while brief clear periods allow greater heat loss. Upcoming model runs and local observations will clarify whether enhanced convection keeps the low near or above 25°C or permits brief radiative cooling toward the lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
19%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
69%
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 5, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C minima amid the rainy season. Trader consensus on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins at equal 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty from an active tropical wave (onda tropical 42) that has elevated atmospheric moisture and cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling depends on cloud fraction, precipitable water, and wind mixing; persistent low-level humidity and showers can limit temperature drops, while brief clear periods allow greater heat loss. Upcoming model runs and local observations will clarify whether enhanced convection keeps the low near or above 25°C or permits brief radiative cooling toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 5, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C minima amid the rainy season. Trader consensus on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins at equal 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty from an active tropical wave (onda tropical 42) that has elevated atmospheric moisture and cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling depends on cloud fraction, precipitable water, and wind mixing; persistent low-level humidity and showers can limit temperature drops, while brief clear periods allow greater heat loss. Upcoming model runs and local observations will clarify whether enhanced convection keeps the low near or above 25°C or permits brief radiative cooling toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 24–25°C on September 5, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C minima amid the rainy season. Trader consensus on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins at equal 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty from an active tropical wave (onda tropical 42) that has elevated atmospheric moisture and cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling depends on cloud fraction, precipitable water, and wind mixing; persistent low-level humidity and showers can limit temperature drops, while brief clear periods allow greater heat loss. Upcoming model runs and local observations will clarify whether enhanced convection keeps the low near or above 25°C or permits brief radiative cooling toward the lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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