Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a tropical environment with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 25–26°C amid the rainy season, where frequent thunderstorms and high humidity moderate temperature swings. Cloud cover and precipitation on September 3 are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher minimum readings, while any breaks in the overcast could allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of historical September ranges (typically 23–25°C). Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized convection as key variables, with official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizing uncertainty in exact timing and intensity that directly influences whether the daily low settles near or below 23°C versus remaining elevated. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread in atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 3?
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
22°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
76%
21°C
13%
22°C
50%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
76%
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
22°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
76%
21°C
$10 Vol.
13%
22°C
$10 Vol.
50%
23°C
$1 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$4 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$10 Vol.
16%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a tropical environment with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 25–26°C amid the rainy season, where frequent thunderstorms and high humidity moderate temperature swings. Cloud cover and precipitation on September 3 are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher minimum readings, while any breaks in the overcast could allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of historical September ranges (typically 23–25°C). Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized convection as key variables, with official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizing uncertainty in exact timing and intensity that directly influences whether the daily low settles near or below 23°C versus remaining elevated. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread in atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a tropical environment with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 25–26°C amid the rainy season, where frequent thunderstorms and high humidity moderate temperature swings. Cloud cover and precipitation on September 3 are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher minimum readings, while any breaks in the overcast could allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of historical September ranges (typically 23–25°C). Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized convection as key variables, with official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizing uncertainty in exact timing and intensity that directly influences whether the daily low settles near or below 23°C versus remaining elevated. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread in atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a tropical environment with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 25–26°C amid the rainy season, where frequent thunderstorms and high humidity moderate temperature swings. Cloud cover and precipitation on September 3 are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher minimum readings, while any breaks in the overcast could allow greater heat loss toward the lower end of historical September ranges (typically 23–25°C). Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized convection as key variables, with official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizing uncertainty in exact timing and intensity that directly influences whether the daily low settles near or below 23°C versus remaining elevated. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread in atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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