Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler polar maritime air into the Buenos Aires region, with southwest winds and clearing skies after earlier rain expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight on September 3–4. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum near 7–9 °C under mostly clear conditions, though slight variations in wind speed, dew-point depression, and residual cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact low. This scientific setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below through 9 °C outcomes as the primary range while keeping higher values at lower implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
15°C or higher 93%
5°C or below 91%
8°C 49%
13°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
91%
6°C
48%
7°C
27%
8°C
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
3%
11°C
17%
12°C
19%
13°C
49%
14°C
48%
15°C or higher
93%
15°C or higher 93%
5°C or below 91%
8°C 49%
13°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
6°C
$0 Vol.
48%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$203 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler polar maritime air into the Buenos Aires region, with southwest winds and clearing skies after earlier rain expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight on September 3–4. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum near 7–9 °C under mostly clear conditions, though slight variations in wind speed, dew-point depression, and residual cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact low. This scientific setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below through 9 °C outcomes as the primary range while keeping higher values at lower implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler polar maritime air into the Buenos Aires region, with southwest winds and clearing skies after earlier rain expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight on September 3–4. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum near 7–9 °C under mostly clear conditions, though slight variations in wind speed, dew-point depression, and residual cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact low. This scientific setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below through 9 °C outcomes as the primary range while keeping higher values at lower implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler polar maritime air into the Buenos Aires region, with southwest winds and clearing skies after earlier rain expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight on September 3–4. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a minimum near 7–9 °C under mostly clear conditions, though slight variations in wind speed, dew-point depression, and residual cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact low. This scientific setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below through 9 °C outcomes as the primary range while keeping higher values at lower implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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