Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 2 point to a high near 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with widespread showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity near 80-90%. This setup favors 29°C or 30°C as the most probable peaks, as thick cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while warm, moist air from the south maintains surface temperatures in the upper 20s. Scattered breaks in the clouds or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 30°C readings, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would enhance evaporative cooling and cap the maximum closer to 28°C. Official verification will rely on China Meteorological Administration station data, with traders weighing model consensus on timing and intensity against historical September averages around 28-30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
29°C 35%
30°C 34%
28°C 23%
27°C 5.2%
$47,210 Vol.
$47,210 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
23%
29°C
35%
30°C
34%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 34%
28°C 23%
27°C 5.2%
$47,210 Vol.
$47,210 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
23%
29°C
35%
30°C
34%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 2 point to a high near 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with widespread showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity near 80-90%. This setup favors 29°C or 30°C as the most probable peaks, as thick cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while warm, moist air from the south maintains surface temperatures in the upper 20s. Scattered breaks in the clouds or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 30°C readings, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would enhance evaporative cooling and cap the maximum closer to 28°C. Official verification will rely on China Meteorological Administration station data, with traders weighing model consensus on timing and intensity against historical September averages around 28-30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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