Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–81°F on September 3, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average lows around 77°F, but the current pattern—with southeast flow and elevated dew points—favors warmer minima. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to the 80–81°F bin, reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drop despite afternoon storms. Lower outcomes (e.g., 73°F or below at 24.5%) would require unexpected clearing or a stronger frontal influence, while warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center guidance on nearby tropical moisture remain key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
92°F or higher 48%
80-81°F 40%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
25%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F or higher
48%
92°F or higher 48%
80-81°F 40%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
36%
92°F or higher
$10 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–81°F on September 3, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average lows around 77°F, but the current pattern—with southeast flow and elevated dew points—favors warmer minima. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to the 80–81°F bin, reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drop despite afternoon storms. Lower outcomes (e.g., 73°F or below at 24.5%) would require unexpected clearing or a stronger frontal influence, while warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center guidance on nearby tropical moisture remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–81°F on September 3, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average lows around 77°F, but the current pattern—with southeast flow and elevated dew points—favors warmer minima. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to the 80–81°F bin, reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drop despite afternoon storms. Lower outcomes (e.g., 73°F or below at 24.5%) would require unexpected clearing or a stronger frontal influence, while warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center guidance on nearby tropical moisture remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–81°F on September 3, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Typical early-September climatology features average lows around 77°F, but the current pattern—with southeast flow and elevated dew points—favors warmer minima. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to the 80–81°F bin, reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drop despite afternoon storms. Lower outcomes (e.g., 73°F or below at 24.5%) would require unexpected clearing or a stronger frontal influence, while warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center guidance on nearby tropical moisture remain key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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